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Tuesday, October 6, 2009

The Vanguard Corporation

In her new book Supercorp, Rosabeth Moss Kanter argues that capitalism is near a crossroads. The old ways of doing business no longer work. Traditional leadership roles are breaking down. And the public is fed up with greedy executives and their institutions that feast on their surrounding communities like leeches.

The time is ripe for a new corporate model, driven by a new type of business leader, where creating business value also means creating value for society.

Surprisingly, Kanter finds models for these so-called vanguard companies in very established, very large corporate titans including IBM, Procter & Gamble, Banco Real, Omrom, and Cemex. "I could have included Cisco, Avon products, Novartis, Toyota, and others," she says in her Harvard Business School office on a recent rainy afternoon.

We asked Kanter to expand on the ideas presented in the book, whose full title is Supercorp: How Vanguard Companies Create Innovation, Profits, Growth and Social Good (Crown Business).

Sean Silverthorne: What is a vanguard company?

Rosabeth Moss Kanter: Vanguard means ahead of the pack, the leaders, the ones who show the way. In this case they are leading the parade toward being values-based, led by principles and a sense of purpose at the heart of the enterprise. They are dealing with the crisis of capitalism by offering a new and different model.

Q: Why do we need a new corporate model?

A: There have been signs for the last 10 or more years that the companies that were going to succeed and prosper needed to manage risks better, have a stronger sense of purpose to motivate their employees, and satisfy a public already agitated about scandals such as Enron in the corporate world.

What I didn't see until I did the research was how companies with a very strong sense of purpose could use that to guide innovation. One of the exciting parts of Supercorp and the rise of this company model is that it's actually a way to develop products and services faster, to get more innovation, and to showcase innovation to the world in a faster way. So it should be at the heart of the enterprise.

And that's what I found. For companies like IBM and Procter & Gamble, this is definitely at the heart of the enterprise. The Japanese company Omron has sustained itself since its founding on principles and on a mission about sensing society: What does society need? They ask: Can we use our capabilities in the electronic sensor business to deal with these problems and issues? For example, one of the things they are working on is biosensors that can be attached to the food chain, so that the freshness of food can be immediately identified. That's potentially a big market as well as something with enormous social value because a lot of food goes to waste.

Q: Can you give us other examples of how this works in practice?

A: In Brazil, Banco Real has grown in 10 years from a small behind-the-pack bank to the second largest and probably the most highly admired bank. They differentiated themseves in the marketplace by centering their strategy around social and environmental responsibility. They said, they don't want to be a "green" bank—they are a for-profit endeavor—but they want to do the right things right. That was their strategy and it brought in customers even though they screened out clients with environmentaly shaky projects.

So despite having stringent standards for potential borrowers to meet, and stringent standards for employees, Banco Real has flourished. Its competitors are now adopting that strategy and advertising themselves as banks that are more responsible socially and environmentally.

Q: How prevalent are vanguard companies? A small parade?

A: It's a growing parade, but it's not clear yet whether they are the exception or the rule—that's true of every change. And of course I was looking at certain very large companies. But here's what makes me think the parade is growing: Companies that do not operate this way will not only lose the advantages of innovation, motivation, and public support, they will also have trouble being coherent and finding business opportunities.

So Banco Real definitely led a parade. Banco Real has created change, and that's why I think the parade will grow. As companies gain marketplace benefits by doing the right thing right, others will follow.

Q: It's interesting that Supercorp was published on the first-year anniversary of the fall of Lehman Brothers. How have the companies you profiled performed during the recession?

A: All the companies I studied, with one exception, outperformed their peers. Their share price declined less at a time when everyone else's declined greatly, and now they're prospering again. They outperformed their markets often, and in some cases they stunningly outperformed the market. The one exception was a company that got caught with a lot of debt because of acquisitions, as well as being in an industry, construction, that was the first to be hit.

Now, there are critics of each of these companies, and the companies must still make a lot of changes. IBM has moved many jobs to other countries. They are not perfect. But they aspire to meet higher standards, and in their operations around the world they also try to raise the standards.

Q: A critical point for you is that a company needs an underlying set of core principles out of which strategy develops. But how do companies embed these principles throughout the organization such that decisions are based upon them?

A: It's not the words; it's the conversations. Leaders must engage employees broadly in discussions of what these principles should be and how they apply.

Sam Palmisano, as a fairly new CEO at IBM, led a conversation in which all 400,000 employees could participate on a Web chat over three days about what the company's values should be for the 21st century, a "values jam." People were in a conversation. That doesn't mean there is total consensus, that doesn't mean that they've eliminated cynicism, but it means employees know "Top management thinks this is important, so I better think so, too."

A.G. Laffley, the chairman of Procter & Gamble, and Bob McDonald, now the CEO, would go around the world and talk about P&G's "PVP," or Purpose, Values, and Principles. Bob McDonald announced in August that P&G's growth strategy for the future is "purpose-inspired growth." So P&G makes it a conversation. Decisions get made in the company that can be tied back to the purpose—that is, you can see that the company makes decisions that would not have made been made on purely financial grounds.

It's like P&G's Children's Safe Drinking Water program. When P&G could not make a commercial market out of water purification powder, it created a nonprofit and gave it away. That told P&G employees that their company is serious about serving society.

Q: How important are mission statements or guiding principles in helping a company focus on core values?

A: Many companies have a mission statement or statement of principles. The words sound pretty much the same. They have something about customers. Something about employees. Something about shareholders. But the words (in vanguard companies) are a little different; they don't just talk about creating great value.

The statement of values will address looking broadly outside the company to the needs of society. One of IBM's values from its Values Jam chat was "Innovation that matters for our company and the world." The addition of those words "and the world" opened the walls of the company. There are IBM employees I've interviewed all over the world who actually invoke that phrase in conversations. They say, "I look at what my community or state or country needs, and ask how the capabilities of the company can contribute to that."

P&G's statement of purpose says they "improve the lives of the world's consumers." More recently they added "now and for generations to come." Adding these words focused people on the long-term impact, so disposable products need to be more environmentally friendly.

Again, it's not the words, it's the conversation. It's the actions of top leaders and the fact that they get successes out of innovations that are tied to the principles and that people are able to make that connection. And then it's part of the selection of people. People who do not really want to live by these values may not want to come to work for the company. It's also a conversation that is often held with companies being acquired, which makes them feel they are in good hands.

Q: What are the roles of CEOs and leadership in vanguard companies?

A: Leadership matters even more when you have to symbolize purpose and values as well as look to the future. People look at what leaders do, not just what they say. So leaders have to model the values. They have to put their investments behind the sense of purpose. If P&G had let the Children's Safe Water program wither just on financial grounds, employees would have looked at top management and said, "You don't mean those words."

Leaders also need two additional characteristics beyond the things we've always said they need. They need to be great systems thinkers. They've always needed that, but they need it even more as they look beyond the walls of the company. They manage their purpose through networks of partners. In fact, one of the values of these companies is end-to-end responsibility, the idea that you are responsible for your supplier's supplier and your customer's customer.

We also need leaders who are relationship-oriented, willing to have partners sit at the table, willing to sometimes put their own ego in check. Leaders need to feel they are safeguarding the future of the institution, not just managing a current portfolio of assets. These leaders have a sense of now and of generations to come.

Sam Palmisano said in one of the quotes I like best in the book: "Managers come and go, the business portfolio changes, so the only thing that endures is our culture."

Q: From the perspective of a worker bee, what's it like to show up to work each day in one of these companies?

A: Here is what I think characterizes these workplaces. They are much more dynamic and flexible, and people exercise much more control about when and where they work. Now, there are still factory jobs and sit-at-the-desk jobs where the hours matter, but an increasing number of jobs are run by self-managed work teams, in essence, where employees join virtual teams working from anywhere. IBM has done surveys that show that on any given day 40 percent of the work force is not working in an IBM office.

That's very striking. It shows the trust and respect these companies have for their people. By giving staff certain goals they need to meet, as well as work on teams that may cut across many parts of the business, employees are motivated very strongly to do the work because they care about achieving the goal, not because their boss is telling them to do it.

This is a new way of working that is very promising, but also very difficult to do. That's where leadership matters. Goals have to be very clear. People have to be coached in collaboration. The networks have to be strong. But if you can do that the benefits in speed of execution are remarkable.

Q: What do you mean by bringing society in the organization?

A: "Bringing society in" is the thinking of people who say, "We have a purpose beyond today's markets and products, and we should think about that. How is society changing? What are the big problem areas? What are our capabilities so that maybe we can find a commercial opportunity that also does good?"

That's a way of thinking that is part of the purpose guiding everyday life. They're always thinking about an opportunity to serve. At the same time their customers get very inspired by this work, so they are solidifying their partner networks and motivating their employees.

People like going to work every day with the idea that they have two jobs. One job is "do my job" and the second is "change the world." That motivation has driven a lot of entrepreneurs.

That's what "bringing society in" means. It's more than thinking that the organization should be customer oriented. It means, "Let's think about our community."

Q: President Obama: vanguard leader?

A: President Obama is subject to Kanter's Law, which says everything can look like a failure in the middle. President Obama has been in office less than a year, has tackled big problems—big problems are always controversial—and yet he is strong, steady, and focused on purpose. Therefore I bet that despite the controversy he will get a health-care bill passed and make progress on these issues.

One reason is that he keeps reminding Americans of our higher moral purpose. He doesn't get dragged down into the mud when people attack him on all sides. That kind of leadership is necessary to deal with volatility. If you don't stay centered in a set of moral principles, a sense of purpose, then it is very difficult to see beyond today's controversy. CEOs of vanguard companies know this sense of purpose helps them even when the stock price is down. They have a longer-term vision that keeps them focused and helps them weather storms.

A leader who has a strong sense of purpose and is willing to seek collaboration is likely to solve problems.

Q: What are you working on now?

A: My colleagues and I are "bringing society in" to Harvard by continuing to develop the Harvard Advanced Leadership Initiative, a workforce of experienced leaders who now have time and want to make a difference on some of the world's big problems. We're close to finishing the first year and getting ready for the second year of fellows.

I'm also working on "Smarter Cities, Smarter Communities," a project about how people build the connections and networks that reach beyond a single building. Education is bigger than schools; health is bigger than hospitals. Communities need to provide the context and the interconnections across parts of the system so that all institutions of a city see the role they play in improving the quality of life and the quality of the environment, in having better health outcomes, and in having a more educated population, all of which attracts jobs.

All of this new work is a continuation of what I learned from SuperCorp. It is important to channel the clout of successful companies and successful universities like Harvard to see problems ripe for innovations that can make a difference in the world. It is a privilege to work with enlightened SuperCorps to create partnerships across sectors combining capabilities for the greater good. That has the potential to solve enormous social and environmental problems and, as a by-product, restore confidence in business. I hope that is the 21st-century model for the future of capitalism.

Monday, September 28, 2009

Media Brands Bringing Licensing Dollars Home

NEW YORK (AdAge.com) -- The beleaguered media business is still marching aggressively on at least one front: store shelves at a big retailer near you.

More and more media-branded consumer goods are squaring off against similar products from rival media brands. Earlier this month Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia announced a major home and outdoor line due exclusively in Home Depot next January, when its contract with Kmart officially ends. Kmart and Sears stores began selling more than 700 home products from Hearst Magazines' Country Living. And Meredith Corp.'s Better Homes and Gardens line at Walmart continues to grow, now numbering about 1,000 products after starting last year with half that number; Meredith said its total brand-licensing revenue grew 15% during the 12 months ending in June.

The recession is battering retail just like everything else, of course. But that's only making exclusive, established brand names more desirable to retailers and a diversified revenue stream more appealing to media brands. Rumors have even circulated that the top-to-bottom business review at Condé Nast could also foster a new openness to activities like licensing.

"When revenues tighten up, all of a sudden things you may have never considered before start to look more possible," said Martin Brochstein, senior VP at the International Licensing Industry Merchandisers' Association. "Licensing is definitely an area than can generate significant revenue, particularly in a time when magazines are under a lot of pressure on the revenue and advertising side."

And media brands actually have a renewed opportunity to earn shelf space right now, said Glen Ellen Brown, VP of Hearst Group brand development. "Three-plus years ago, retailers were thinking 'My goodness,' particularly in the home space, 'I need to be much more economical and build my own brands.'" Ms. Brown said. But the recession has made the costs and effort required to grow those brands look a lot less attractive, she said. "The cycle is turning a bit so the retailers are going back to developed brands that have real consumer loyalty and resonance."

Besting Kmart deal
Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia, for its part, needed to fill the void left by the expiring Kmart deal, which generated $1.6 billion in retail sales at its peak in 2002. It did that partly by getting into Macy's, but the Home Depot deal represented an important next step. "Between Home Depot and Macy's it's my view that we have the potential to have a much bigger business than Kmart in our heyday," said Charles Koppelman, executive chairman.

Wall Street will be watching: A J.P. Morgan analyst downgraded Martha Stewart stock after the deal was announced, partly because the Home Depot deal's "great potential" still didn't include minimum income guarantees like the Kmart deal did.

Home Depot has high expectations for the line, which is a departure of sorts because the retailer hasn't traditionally turned to celebrity or media brand partnerships. "We believe it will translate to additional top line sales," said Jean Niemi, a spokeswoman for Home Depot. "There's a level of credibility [Martha Stewart] brings." Ms. Niemi said a "robust" marketing campaign to introduce the line is in the works.

Perhaps retailers are hoping the tie in with trusted media brands will help. Sales of home goods were particularly lackluster for 2008, the latest figures available from The NPD Group. The bedding category sold $9.8 million, but that was down 10% compared to 2007; Bath sales were $4.2 million, off 9.5%; Bakeware sales were $211 million and cookware equaled $736 million, both down 4%; Dinnerware sales fell 12% to $488 million; and flatware brought in $199 million, down 11%. So far the first half of this year has been equally tough, with sales flat or down across many of the categories.

The deals can also be fruitful for media companies, which don't have to bear the cost of manufacturing products or operating a national retail chain. That means high margins when it's working right. Last year, for example, Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia collected $163.5 million in publishing revenue and just $57.9 million in merchandising revenue. But merchandising delivered almost $33 million in operating income, compared with just $6 million from publishing.

Pitfalls
While there can be significant rewards, though, licensing is hardly foolproof. Time Inc.'s Real Simple has been successfully selling home office products in Target since 2006 and is introducing calendars to Target, Borders and Barnes & Noble stores in the fourth quarter.

But it discontinued its home cleaning products at the end of last year, said Gary Ryan, VP-brand development and strategy at Real Simple. "We were up against some stiff competition from Swiffer and Clorox," said Ms. Ryan. " It was also a much more price-sensitive category than we were anticipating."

Licensing deals can be risky for retailers too, especially if the personality that once helped move product starts going negative. In an interview with CNBC, Martha Stewart seemed to blame Kmart parent Sears Holdings for the end of her company's partnership with Kmart.

Sears Holdings let the Martha Stewart Everyday collection lose its luster, Ms. Stewart alleged. "I would say it has been diminished," she said. "The quality is not what I am proud of."

Sears said she ought to blame herself for any problems. "Given that the product is designed by Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia, manufactured to their specifications and subject to approval by the Martha Stewart team, we think that Ms. Stewart should accept responsibility for her product," said Chris Brathwaite, a Sears spokesman.


Saturday, September 19, 2009

Coca-Cola Retains Title as World’s Best Global Brand (Table)

Sept. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Following is a table ranking 100 global brands from Interbrand’s Best Global Brands 2009 report.

Rankings are based on five criteria and excludes those brands which are privately held.


================================================================================
-----Rank----- Value
2009 2008 Chng. Company Country Industry $ blns
================================================================================
1 1 0 Coca-Cola U.S. Beverages $68.734
2 2 0 IBM U.S. Computer Services $60.200
3 3 0 Microsoft U.S. Computer Software $56.647
4 4 0 GE U.S. Diversified $47.777
5 5 0 Nokia Finland Consumer Electronics $34.864
6 8 2 McDonald’s U.S. Restaurants $32.275
7 10 3 Google U.S. Internet Services $31.980
8 6 -2 Toyota Japan Automotive $31.330
9 7 -2 Intel U.S. Computer Hardware $30.636
10 9 -1 Disney U.S. Media $28.447
================================================================================
-----Rank----- Value
2009 2008 Chng. Company Country Industry $ blns
================================================================================
11 12 1 Hewlett-Packard U.S. Computer Hardware $24.096
12 11 -1 Mercedes-Benz Germany Automotive $23.867
13 14 1 Gillette U.S. Personal Care $22.841
14 17 3 Cisco U.S. Computer Services $22.030
15 13 -2 BMW Germany Automotive $21.671
16 16 0 Louis Vuitton France Luxury $21.120
17 18 1 Marlboro U.S. Tobacco $19.010
18 20 2 Honda Japan Automotive $17.803
19 21 2 Samsung Korea Consumer Electronics $17.518
20 24 4 Apple U.S. Computer Hardware $15.433
21 22 1 H&M Sweden Apparel $15.375
22 15 -7 American Express U.S. Financial Services $14.971
23 26 3 Pepsi U.S. Beverages $13.706
24 23 -1 Oracle U.S. Computer Software $13.699
25 28 3 Nescafe Switzerland Beverages $13.317
26 29 3 Nike U.S. Sporting Goods $13.179
27 31 4 SAP Germany Computer Software $12.106
================================================================================
-----Rank----- Value
2009 2008 Chng. Company Country Industry $ blns
================================================================================
28 35 7 Ikea Sweden Home Furnishings $12.004
29 25 -4 Sony Japan Consumer Electronics $11.953
30 33 3 Budweiser U.S. Alcohol $11.833
31 30 -1 UPS U.S. Transportation $11.594
32 27 -5 HSBC U.K. Financial Services $10.510
33 36 3 Canon Japan Computer Hardware $10.441
34 39 5 Kellogg’s U.S. Food $10.428
35 32 -3 Dell U.S. Computer Hardware $10.291
36 19 -17 Citi U.S. Financial Services $10.254
37 37 0 J.P. Morgan U.S. Financial Services $9.550
38 38 0 Goldman Sachs U.S. Financial Services $9.248
39 40 1 Nintendo Japan Consumer Electronics $9.210
40 44 4 Thomson Reuters Canada Media $8.434
41 45 4 Gucci Italy Luxury $8.182
42 43 1 Philips Netherlands Diversified $8.121
43 58 15 Amazon.com U.S. Internet Services $7.858
44 51 7 L’Oreal France Personal Care $7.748
================================================================================
-----Rank----- Value
2009 2008 Chng. Company Country Industry $ blns
================================================================================
45 47 2 Accenture U.S. Computer Services $7.710
46 46 0 Ebay Inc. U.S. Internet Services $7.350
47 48 1 Siemens Germany Diversified $7.308
48 56 8 Heinz U.S. Food $7.244
49 49 0 Ford U.S. Automotive $7.005
50 62 12 Zara Spain Apparel $6.789
51 61 10 Wrigley’s U.S. Food $6.731
52 57 5 Colgate U.S. Personal Care $6.550
53 55 2 AXA France Financial Services $6.525
54 52 -2 MTV U.S. Media $6.523
55 53 -2 Volkswagen Germany Automotive $6.484
56 59 3 Xerox U.S. Computer Hardware $6.431
57 42 -15 Morgan Stanley U.S. Financial Services $6.399
58 63 5 Nestle Switzerland Food $6.319
59 60 1 Chanel France Luxury $6.040
60 66 6 Danone France Food $5.960
61 64 3 KFC U.S. Restaurants $5.722
================================================================================
-----Rank----- Value
2009 2008 Chng. Company Country Industry $ blns
================================================================================
62 70 8 Adidas Germany Sporting Goods $5.397
63 73 10 BlackBerry Canada Consumer Electronics $5.138
64 65 1 Yahoo! U.S. Internet Services $5.111
65 67 2 Audi Germany Automotive $5.010
66 68 2 Caterpillar U.S. Diversified $5.004
67 69 2 Avon U.S. Personal Care $4.917
68 71 3 Rolex Switzerland Luxury $4.609
69 72 3 Hyundai Korea Automotive $4.604
70 76 6 Hermes France Luxury $4.598
71 74 3 Kleenex U.S. Personal Care $4.404
72 41 -31 UBS Switzerland Financial Services $4.370
73 50 -23 Harley-Davidson U.S. Automotive $4.337
74 75 1 Porsche Germany Automotive $4.234
75 78 3 Panasonic Japan Consumer Electronics $4.225
76 80 4 Tiffany & Co. U.S. Luxury $4.000
77 79 2 Cartier Switzerland Luxury $3.968
78 77 -1 GAP U.S. Apparel $3.922
================================================================================
-----Rank----- Value
2009 2008 Chng. Company Country Industry $ blns
================================================================================
79 81 2 Pizza Hut U.S. Restaurants $3.876
80 92 12 Johnson & Johnson U.S. Personal Care $3.847
81 82 1 Allianz Germany Financial Services $3.831
82 83 1 Moet & Chandon France Alcohol $3.754
83 84 1 BP U.K. Energy $3.716
84 89 5 Smirnoff U.K. Alcohol $3.698
85 88 3 Duracell U.S. Consumer Electronics $3.563
86 98 12 Nivea Germany Personal Care $3.557
87 91 4 Prada Italy Luxury $3.530
88 93 5 Ferrari Italy Automotive $3.527
89 94 5 Giorgio Armani Italy Luxury $3.303
90 85 -5 Starbucks U.S. Restaurants $3.263
91 New n/a Lancome France FMCG $3.235
92 97 5 Shell Netherlands Energy $3.228
93 New n/a Burger King U.S. Restaurants $3.223
94 100 6 Visa U.S. Financial Services $3.170
95 New n/a Adobe U.S. Computer Software $3.161
================================================================================
-----Rank----- Value
2009 2008 Chng. Company Country Industry $ blns
================================================================================
96 90 -6 Lexus Japan Automotive $3.158
97 New n/a Puma Germany Sporting Goods $3.154
98 New n/a Burberry U.K. Luxury $3.095
99 New n/a Polo Ralph Lauren U.S. Luxury $3.094
100 New n/a Campbell’s U.S. FMGC $3.081
================================================================================
Source: Interbrand

Sunday, September 13, 2009

Slowly But Surely, Line Extensions Will Take Your Brand Off Course

Would you like to steer the ship?" is a question I used to hear in the Merchant Marine.

The helmsman on duty would tell the neophyte, "Just take the wheel and keep the compass reading at 180," or whatever the course called for.

Steering a ship is not like driving a car. The ship drifts to the left, so the neophyte turns the wheel to the right to try to correct the course. But the ship keeps turning left, so the neophyte figures maybe he needs to do the opposite, so he turns the wheel to the left ... and the ship turns to the right. Now he's convinced that he's got the hang of it, until the ship turns left again. After a while, the poor soul is convinced the wheel isn't connected to the rudder at all.

It takes time to turn a ship and it takes time to build a brand. If you want to turn a ship to the left, you turn the wheel to the left ... and then you wait and you wait and you wait. Finally the ship turns to the left.

Marketing is like steering a ship. If you don't wait long enough for a marketing effect to run its course, you can draw exactly the wrong conclusion.

Take the 1981 introduction of Bud Light by Anheuser-Busch, virtually the last major brewer to introduce a light version of its regular beer.

I asked management, "Won't that hurt sales of Budweiser regular? Instead, why don't you introduce a totally new brand?"

"Oh, no," came the reply. "We're not positioning Bud Light against Budweiser. We're going to take business from Miller Lite, Coors Light, Schlitz Light and all those other light beers out there.""

Sure enough, the 1981 introduction of Bud Light did not hurt the regular Budweiser brand. Year after year, sales of regular Budweiser went up.

1982 ... Budweiser was up 4.1%
1983 ... Budweiser was up 6%
1984 ... Budweiser was up 3.9%
1985 ... Budweiser regular was up 4.2%
1986 ... Budweiser regular was up 3%
1987 ... Budweiser regular was up 3.1%
1988 ... Budweiser regular was up 2%

Seven years of sales increases seemed to prove me wrong. "And you thought that Bud Light would hurt our regular Budweiser brand? Are you crazy?"

Then came 1989, which saw regular Budweiser down one-fifth of 1%, the start of the deluge.

As of today, Budweiser volume has fallen every year for 20 years in a row, to 23.5 million barrels in 2008 from 50.6 million barrels in 1988.

Does anyone have any doubt that regular Budweiser will someday become a marginal brand in the U.S. market? We call line extension the "hockey-stick effect." Short term, you get the blade and score a few goals. Long term, you get the shaft.

Oddly enough, what gave Anheuser-Busch confidence in its line-extension strategy was the track record of Miller Lite. Introduced nationally in 1975, Miller Lite also did not hurt sales in the short term of Miller High Life, the company's regular beer.

Year after year, Miller High Life climbed up the beer ladder, from 5 million barrels in 1971 to 20.8 million barrels in 1978, the most explosive growth ever recorded by a beer brand. That was the year Advertising Age named John Murphy, Miller president and CEO, "Adman of the Year."

What drove the brand to such heights?

"Miller Time," in my opinion the most effective advertising strategy ever developed for a beer brand.

The target market: cowboys in hard hats. The psychological hot button: a reward at the end of the day for blue-collar men doing rugged jobs in outdoor occupations. (What Miller Time did for men, McDonald's was doing for women with "You deserve a break today," a campaign which coincidentally was also launched in 1971, the same year as Miller Time.)

By 1979, the combination of Miller High Life and Miller Lite (34.8 million barrels) outsold Budweiser (30.0 million barrels) by a significant margin. No wonder Anheuser-Busch pushed the panic button.

Too bad. If they had had a little more patience they would have realized that line extensions are inherently unstable. A successful line extension almost always damages the core brand ... over the long haul.

It's like a teeter-totter. When one side goes up, the other side goes down.

For Miller Brewing, 1979 was a year of high hopes. That was the year Miller broke ground on a new $411 million brewery in Trenton, Ohio.

That was also the year Miller High Life started its long decline, from 23.6 million barrels in 1979 to 5 million barrels in 1992, where it remains today.

The Trenton brewery? It sat idle for almost a decade and didn't open until 1991.

We kept forgetting the teeter-totter principle. When Bud Light declined this year, its first decline in 27 years, all hell broke loose. There were stories in all the major media.

"Anheuser-Busch InBev NW plans to tweak its marketing campaign for Bud Light and ratchet up spending," reported The Wall Street Journal, "in the hopes of reviving a brand that is facing a rare slump."

What slump? Bud Light is up 5% this year, not down 2.5% as reported in the media.

How can that be when everybody else is reporting a decline? The difference is that we included Budweiser's lime extension in Bud Light's volume. Bud Light Lime is the fastest-growing beer in America, with 1.2% of the market, and naturally that success came at the expense of Bud Light.

Budweiser, Bud Light and Bud Light Lime are not three brands with three different marketing strategies. They're one brand with three different flavors and three different marketing strategies that often cause confusion.

Line extension is a loser's game. It doesn't usually work, but even if it does, it almost always damage the core brand.

On the other hand, there's the well-documented evidence that a line extension doesn't hurt a leading brand as much as it does an also-ran. Why is this so?

A leading brand has a very strong position. It's the leader. And nothing works as well in marketing as leadership. Google in search. Hertz in rent-a-cars. Hellmann's in mayonnaise. Heinz in ketchup. Campbell's in soup. Thomas' in English muffins.

Many No. 2 or No. 3 brands become successful by narrowing their focus to segment the market, either demographically or in some other way. Miller High Life targeted the blue-collar segment.

Bud Light didn't destroy Budweiser's leadership perception. But Miller Lite definitely undermined Miller High Life's blue-collar perception.

What's a Miller? Over time, Miller became known as a light beer. And the cowboys in hard hats weren't about to drink a light beer.

What's a Budweiser? It's still perceived as the leading beer, but now available in a number of different flavors.

In the years that followed the fall of High Life, Miller Brewing tried to inject new life into its Miller brand with a raft of line extensions including: Miller Genuine Draft, Miller Genuine Draft Light, Miller Genuine Draft 64, Miller Lite Ice, Miller Lite Ultra, Miller High Life Light, Miller Chill, Miller Genuine Red, Miller Reserve, Miller Reserve Light, Miller Reserve Amber Ale and Miller Clear.

They even spent $60 million introducing Miller "regular" beer.

All for naught. Today, Miller sells considerably less beer under the Miller name than they did in the glory days of 1979.

So it is in many marketing situations: What works in the short term often doesn't work in the long term.

Well, you might be thinking, what about the trend towards light beer? It's true that light beer is now the largest segment of the market, but regular beer still accounts for 44%.

Why not have your beer and drink it, too? Why not try to dominate both segments with two separate brand names? Like Toyota and Lexus. Or Black & Decker and DeWalt.

Or Hanes and L'eggs.

Marketing people are often sheep when it comes to categories. Once a line extension becomes a big success, all the competitors get in line and say, me too.

Without giving a second thought to the possibility of launching a new brand that could clearly define the new market as a separate category.

It happened in light beer. It happened in diet cola. It happened in lithium batteries. It has happened in many other categories.

In 1995, to pick one year at random, the top 40 brands of light beer all used "light" in their names -- even Amstel Light, a brand that didn't have a "regular" version.

Line extension is a teeter-totter, but not necessarily in the short term. In the short term, both sides often go up. It takes time to turn a ship. It takes time to kill a brand.

You can't know whether a marketing move is effective or not until enough time has passed. Yet many companies are driven by short-term thinking -- promotions, coupons, special offers and discounts. And line extensions.

If it took Bud Light seven years to damage the regular Budweiser brand, how long are you taking to measure the success of your programs?

A month? Three months? Six months? A year?

Marketing is messing with minds. Getting into minds and changing them is not for the faint-hearted or for the impatient. You need to launch a marketing program and then have the patience to wait and wait and wait.

Which reminds me.

Maybe my misspent youth will start to pay a dividend. The House of Representatives has just passed a bill providing a monthly stipend to those who served in the U.S. Merchant Marine.

Good things happen to those who have patience.


Saturday, August 29, 2009

Convenience Makes a Comeback

Many consumers are opting to save time in lieu of money these days, according to new research from marketing firms The Integer Group and M/A/R/C.

"The Checkout" report found that 28 percent of June 2009 shoppers describe themselves as "preferring to spend more if it saves them time." This was up from 23 percent in May. Additionally, the number of customers (28 percent) who responded that "saving money by shopping around" was their top preference fell from 33 percent the month prior.

This shift in consumer shopping habits may be good news for convenience stores, said Randy Wahl, executive vice president of M/A/R/C. "Convenience stores have an opportunity to draw a larger number of shoppers if they focus on a few of the fundamental factors." These include providing a clean store and improving the overall shopping experience.

The monthly report, which surveyed 1,200 adults, also found that consumers are now more comfortable with using credit cards than in recent months. Twenty-six percent preferred to buy on credit instead of waiting to purchase later, up from 23 percent in May. When asked about their top criteria for selecting a store, "accepts my credit or bank cards" increased 4 percent compared to the previous month.

Other criteria related to convenience, such as "is easy for me to find the things I need" and "checkout is quick" saw notable increases when compared to earlier results. High price remains the top reason for shoppers not to make purchases at 60 percent, but shopper concerns about finding exactly what they are looking for has almost matched it, at 59 percent.

"The majority of shoppers surveyed want to get in and out of the store as quickly as possible," said Craig Elston, svp of Integer, in a statement. "Convenience stores often give time back to the consumer to do other things."

http://www.brandweek.com/bw/content_display/news-and-features/direct/e3id9eac057de820fdc073aa4c2de4ccba1

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Unilever’s Polman May Pass Old P&G Bosses With Cheap Margarine

Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Chief Executive Officer Paul Polman gave Unilever’s margarine managers 30 days to devise a plan to restore growth in Germany. They made Homa Gold a discount brand, following Polman’s strategy to overtake rivals whose premium products are stumbling.

Unilever slashed Homa Gold’s price by almost half and changed the packaging to woo penny-pinching shoppers. Since July 1, the company has sold more of the spread, according to Alexander Pess, who develops Unilever margarines globally.

“We thought about how we could turn the threat of losing a brand into an opportunity in this crisis,” Pess said in an interview. The aim is “to keep volume in the portfolio, even if this means making less money on it.”

The Homa Gold program is one of 15 fix-it plans Polman, 53, is running to win back shoppers seeking cheaper goods since he took over in January. Unilever this month unexpectedly posted volume growth in western Europe in the second quarter and is now set to outpace sales at Polman’s former employers, Nestle SA and Procter & Gamble Co.

Unilever may pass Nestle for the first time since at least 2001, and may sell more items annually than P&G for the first time in at least five years as the Dutch-born Polman brings some prices in line with store brands. Homa Gold now sells for 75 cents a tub at a Metro AG Real hypermarket in Dusseldorf, the same price as the chain’s private label.

“It’s really impressive how Polman turned around a huge vessel like Unilever in such a short time,” said Christian Vondenbusch, a fund manager at Robeco Asset Management in Rotterdam, which oversees 115 billion euros ($163 billion), including Unilever shares. “This man achieved what others couldn’t.”

Maintaining Profitability

Unilever’s stock has outperformed P&G and Nestle since June 30, rising more than 12 percent in London and Amsterdam. Nestle and P&G have gained about 4 percent in that time.

The executive’s next task will be to maintain profitability at the London- and Rotterdam-based company as he slashes prices and lifts spending on new products. Polman scrapped Unilever’s operating margin target of at least 15 percent by 2010 in February, one month into his new job, and said giving an outlook would be inappropriate amid declining economic growth.

“Margins will fall this year,” said Richard Withagen, an analyst at SNS Securities in Amsterdam. Unilever’s “growth comes at a greater expense to margins than at rivals like Nestle,” he says.

Withagen recommends investors reduce their holdings of Unilever, where he expects profitability excluding one-time items, acquisitions and disposals to be 14.3 percent of sales this year, down from 14.5 percent in 2008.

Raw Materials

Polman plans to boost operating profit as a percentage of sales in the second half amid cheaper prices for raw materials like palm oil, which is used in margarine, sauces and ice cream.

Withagen says falling commodity costs are no panacea, with any benefit likely eaten up by increased marketing costs to propel the volume growth Polman seeks.

Polman was unavailable to comment for this story because he’s traveling outside Europe, a spokeswoman said.

Unilever is taking “quicker actions where we’re feeling that our brands are out-positioned or at a disadvantage, where we’re losing share,” Polman said in May. He said he’s fighting an “inherited assumption that the company will not grow.”

Stubble-Free

Polman, who worked at P&G for 25 years, may find himself a tough act to follow after increasing expectations in the second quarter, analysts said. He headed western Europe for P&G from 2001 to 2005, cutting prices and lifting sales while economic growth in the region stagnated. P&G was then led by Alan Lafley, who relinquished his role as CEO this year, remaining chairman.

“Polman’s biggest challenge is to live up to those expectations while the market is still deteriorating,” said Fernand de Boer, an analyst at Petercam in Amsterdam who recommends investors hold the shares. “Innovation is important. He’s got to introduce new products, supported by spending on advertising and promotions.”

So far this year, Unilever has introduced Dove HairMinimising deodorant, which pledges to leave users feeling “stubble-free” for longer, and Lipton Sparkling Green tea in a venture with PepsiCo Inc.

P&G spent $2 billion over the last year developing new products, including its Venus Embrace five-blade women’s razor. Polman in May said that Unilever is spending 1 billion euros on developing new products, without giving a time frame for that expenditure.

Marathon Runner

Polman worked at Nestle for two years as chief financial officer. After being passed over for the top job, Polman became the first outsider to lead Unilever. Outside the office, Polman is a long-distance runner, rising at 6 a.m. to hit the treadmill in his London office and completing this year’s Unilever- sponsored London Marathon in just over 4 hours and 12 minutes.

Vevey, Switzerland-based Nestle on Aug. 12 withdrew its revenue forecast and posted sales below analysts’ estimates, as consumers shunned premium products including bottled water and vitamin-enriched powdered milk. P&G predicted on Aug. 5 that sales excluding currency swings will slide as much as 3 percent in the current quarter as consumers switch to cheaper alternatives to Tide detergent and Olay face cream.

Under other 30-day plans, Unilever added more chocolate to Klondike ice-cream bars in the U.S. and made Indian packages of Rin Advanced detergent bigger while maintaining the price.

Nestle ‘Wake-Up Call’

Polman linked managers’ bonuses to volume growth and sent salesmen to stock shelves in supermarkets. He also boosted Unilever’s advertising and promotion spending and pledged more to develop new products and accelerate their introduction.

In the second quarter, Unilever sold 2 percent more goods by volume, and Nestle’s volume rose by 0.7 percent. P&G’s volume dropped 4 percent over the same three months, according to Bloomberg calculations. Unilever’s underlying sales growth of 4.4 percent in the first half also outpaced Nestle’s 3.5 percent gain in sales on that basis, while P&G’s sales on that basis in those months was flat, calculations show.

“It’s a wake-up call,” said Jon Cox, an analyst at Kepler Capital Markets in Zurich. “P&G and Nestle are, to a certain extent, caught with their pants down. It’s going to be hard for them to catch up in terms of volume.”

Cescau vs. Polman

Polman isn’t responsible for all the change. Since the fourth quarter of 2008, Unilever’s volume declines have been less steep than at Cincinnati-based P&G. Polman’s predecessor, Patrick Cescau cut jobs, sold assets and closed plants in his four years at the helm of Unilever. Cescau took over in 2005 after a plan to restore growth failed and investors criticized the company for being too slow to respond to consumer trends.

“Cescau looked at the organization and the production; Polman looks at how to sell the goods,” said Robeco’s Vondenbusch. “He will continue to look at the costs, but his focus will be on marketing.”

As a result of Unilever managers’ in-store experiences, Unilever is tweaking products to shoppers’ demands. In the Netherlands, the company is selling miniature versions of its Twister ice pops at the C1000 chain after noticing more families shopped there. By contrast, Unilever sells a multi-pack of its pricier Magnum Temptation bars only at Royal Ahold NV’s Albert Heijn stores, which cater more to double-income Dutch households.

“Polman basically fixed the imbalance between volume and pricing,” said James Amoroso, a food industry consultant based in Walchwil, Switzerland. “That’s nothing magical. The thing I’d say ‘wow’ to is the speed. This is a smart guy who thinks quickly and moves quickly.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=aXqX_ov1dk98


Thursday, August 13, 2009

U.S. Economy: Sales Unexpectedly Fall on Job Losses

Aug. 13 (Bloomberg) -- Sales at U.S. retailers unexpectedly fell in July, raising the risk that a lack of consumer spending will temper a recovery from the worst recession since the 1930s.

Purchases decreased 0.1 percent, the first drop in three months, as shrinking demand at department stores such as Macy’s Inc. and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. overshadowed a boost from the cash-for-clunkers automobile incentive program, Commerce Department figures showed today in Washington.

A separate government report today showed more Americans than forecast filed claims for unemployment insurance last week, underscoring the threat to spending from the continued deterioration in the job market. Treasury securities jumped and the dollar fell after the reports, and some economists lowered estimates for growth this quarter.

“Until we start seeing job growth, consumers are still going to be very cautious,” said Michael Gregory, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets in Toronto, which accurately forecast the drop in purchases excluding automobiles. “It’s premature to talk about the sustainability of a recovery,” he said, until there’s “follow-through on the demand side.”

The gain in Treasuries sent the yield on the benchmark 10- year note down to 3.60 percent at 5:15 p.m. in New York from 3.72 percent late yesterday. The dollar dropped against the Japanese currency to 95.48 yen from 96.07 yesterday. Stocks rose, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increasing 0.7 percent to a 10-month high of 1,012.73.

More Claims

The Labor Department said today that 558,000 people filed first-time claims for jobless benefits last week, up from 554,000 the week before.

Retail sales were projected to rise 0.8 percent, according to the median estimate of 76 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. Forecasts ranged from a decline of 0.9 percent to a gain of 2 percent. Commerce revised June sales up to show a gain of 0.8 percent from the 0.6 percent increase previously reported.

Excluding automobiles, sales fell 0.6 percent, also worse than anticipated and the biggest drop since March. They were forecast to increase 0.1 percent, according to the survey.

Americans cut back on furniture, electronics, building materials, groceries and sporting goods in July, according to the report. The drop in sales at department stores, at 1.6 percent, was the biggest this year.

‘In the Tank’

“It’s hard to find anything encouraging in this report,” said David Resler, chief economist at Nomura Securities International Inc. in New York. “For the most part, discretionary spending is in the tank.”

Walmart, the world’s largest retailer, today reported profit that exceeded some analysts’ estimates after managing inventory to lower costs. Comparable-store sales trailed the company’s forecast.

The drop in sales was attributable to consumers being “more selective” in buying discretionary items and to larger declines in grocery prices than anticipated, Eduardo Castro- Wright, Walmart’s U.S. stores chief, said on a recorded call.

Macy’s, the second-biggest U.S. department store chain, said yesterday it cut inventories 7.5 percent in the second quarter from a year ago as sales dropped.

Other reports today showed companies trimmed inventories in June for a 10th consecutive month, and prices of imported goods dropped in July for the first time in six months as the cost of commodities such as petroleum and chemicals decreased.

Cash for Clunkers

Figures from the retail sales report showed the government’s cash-for-clunkers plan did boost auto purchases, confirming industry data released earlier this month. Sales at dealerships and parts stores climbed 2.4 percent last month, the biggest gain since January.

The government is offering credits of up to $4,500 to trade in gas-guzzlers for more fuel-efficient vehicles. President Barack Obama last week signed into law an emergency measure giving an additional $2 billion to the program after the original $1 billion ran out three months earlier than projected. The infusion of funds was meant to extend the program through August.

Excluding autos, gasoline and building materials -- the retail group the government uses to calculate gross domestic product figures for consumer spending -- sales dropped 0.2 percent after no change in June. The government uses data from other sources to calculate the contribution from the three categories excluded.

Forecasts Trimmed

After the report, economists at Morgan Stanley in New York projected the economy will expand at a 3.7 percent annual pace this quarter, down from a prior estimate of 4.2 percent.

The economy has lost about 6.7 million jobs since the recession started in December 2007, the worst of any downturn since World War II. GDP contracted at a 1 percent annual rate in the second quarter, the fourth consecutive drop.

Federal Reserve policy makers yesterday said they will hold the benchmark interest rate “exceptionally low” for an “extended period” to help sustain a recovery. They also added “sluggish income growth” to the list of reasons why household spending is likely to be slow to rebound. Headwinds previously mentioned included job losses, tight credit and falling home values.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a03T3Kgw7klc